Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 6.218590e-01 0.798980 0.998730 1.238019 1.514224 1.820496 2.183209
2025-09-14 3.907181e-01 0.614057 0.898686 1.275718 1.749873 2.314914 3.027400
2025-09-21 2.421913e-01 0.473449 0.807101 1.291962 1.947899 2.775841 3.870608
2025-09-28 1.403511e-01 0.353684 0.705650 1.265810 2.075886 3.150535 4.628550
2025-10-05 8.604463e-02 0.282859 0.652407 1.289454 2.262747 3.605409 5.508042
2025-10-12 5.014612e-02 0.224385 0.599558 1.298309 2.420859 4.023573 6.353443
2025-10-19 2.458392e-02 0.166646 0.527141 1.257644 2.493510 4.319224 7.039592
2025-10-26 1.090263e-02 0.124596 0.469095 1.227111 2.572183 4.620450 7.738568
2025-11-02 4.769840e-03 0.099056 0.437258 1.236416 2.711247 5.012153 8.574079
2025-11-09 1.223218e-03 0.071380 0.385907 1.195606 2.758419 5.262986 9.211635
2025-11-16 3.880616e-04 0.061467 0.380641 1.248137 2.968660 5.770162 10.234187
2025-11-23 2.917682e-05 0.047718 0.355038 1.250574 3.087422 6.136476 11.057156
2025-11-30 4.676105e-07 0.043204 0.361680 1.330090 3.356272 6.757428 12.286599
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036713 0.356736 1.381280 3.575647 7.307231 13.424793
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029185 0.341568 1.404365 3.742411 7.776824 14.453125
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020348 0.310364 1.379618 3.813277 8.089839 15.249064
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015953 0.299269 1.406221 3.986071 8.576295 16.320853
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011791 0.283590 1.416391 4.124819 9.007939 17.314684
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007074 0.252422 1.373575 4.149799 9.245020 18.008013
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004083 0.226972 1.341306 4.192736 9.512086 18.751797
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002667 0.215381 1.351296 4.326366 9.939827 19.757432
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001188 0.190291 1.307938 4.338240 10.151748 20.420589
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000916 0.192469 1.363831 4.575956 10.771448 21.749866